The NBA issues a single Most Improved Player of the Year award following each NBA season, but that doesn’t mean that there aren’t clusters growing youngsters around the league. In most cases, each and every roster will have one guy that makes the coaches say “wow, he wasn’t this good last year” or “where did he come from?” Heck, sometimes you’ll even witness a long-time veteran bust out of his shell and flourish in a new system (just ask Hedo Turkoglu).
What I’m going to do is break down who I believe is primed for “the next step,” if you will, on each and every NBA roster. Without any further ado, let’s get to it.
Acie Law - Most of us were shocked at how poorly Law made the transition from college to the pros. In fact, many believed that Law was the most NBA-ready guard in the entire 2007 draft class (guilty). Expect a less hesitant and more effective Acie Law in 2008-2009. Let’s hope so, anyway.
Rajon Rondo - At 22 years of age, you haven’t seen the best of Rajon Rondo. In my humble opinion, he’s a consistent jump shot away from becoming a big, big time player in this league. He’s going to continue to progress, and there is no reason for me to believe that 2008-2009 won’t be his best and most complete season as a pro, up to this point.
Raymond Felton - Since being drafted fifth overall in 2005, Felton has thus far failed to live up to expectations. However, you could pose a strong argument that he has yet to be used correctly - as a point guard. Bernie Bickerstaff and Sam Vincent are each guilty of trying to turn Felton into something he’s not - a combo guard. With tutelage from the likes of Larry Brown, expect a more fundamentally sound Raymond Felton this season, and don’t be surprised to see the 24-year-old guard establish himself as one of the top 10 point guards in the league.
Kirk Hinrich - While Raymond Felton has been turned from a point guard to a combo guard, Kirk Hinrich has undergone the same story with Chicago - just in reverse. It’s clear that Hinrich is not a reliable option to run an NBA offense, and it’s clear that the Bulls’ offense is more efficient when Hinrich is off the ball. With Derrick Rose coming into the fold this season, Hinrich will have the freedom to play as more of a combo guard than being forced into unjustifiably running the show. As ugly of a season as he had in 07-08, don’t be entirely surprised if Hinrich returns to 2006-2007 form in the coming months, especially with the expected departure of Ben Gordon freeing up room for him to do so.
LeBron James - “But what do you mean? Isn’t LeBron already the first or second best player in the world?” Yup, but keep in mind that he’s turning just 24 years old this December. If the Beijing games were any indication, “King James” is now primed to make the big jump on the defensive end of the floor. We saw flashes of this in the playoffs (disregard Game 7 in Boston), and he unleashed his fire in Olympic play. He’s ready to become an even more complete ballplayer (yes, it’s possible), and I think he’s going to do it.
None - I wish I could say Gerald Green, but I just can’t. I wish I could say Antoine Wright, but I can’t. I wish I could say J.J. Barea, but I can’t. “They are what they are” is a phrase that sums all of Dallas’ youngsters and the team as a whole. Changes are needed some time soon. It’d be interesting if they could go out and get a promising young guard like a Dev… sorry.
J.R. Smith - Smith capped off his 2007-2008 campaign beautifully, and he certainly has the talent to continue that progression. However, there’s just something about him that makes me question whether Smith is turning the corner or impressing for a contract. Considering the fact that there was minimal interest around the league for Smith’s services, and a lower-than-expected deal was recently signed with Denver, maybe I’m not the only one who thinks that way. Regardless, if he can play a whole season at the level he played at to close out the last, he could be in the running for the Most Improved Player of the Year award.
Rodney Stuckey - The facts are in: Rodney Stuckey is going to be one heck of an NBA player. Year-by-year, this guy is going to improve until his full potential is reached. Why? Because he wants it. He may not statistically blow you away in 2009, on account of Chauncey Billups and Rip Hamilton being ahead of him on the depth chart, but do not sleep on Stuckey’s abilities or his drive to harness them.
Marcus Williams - For years, the knock on Marcus Williams has been the question of “does he want it?” Well, with Monta Ellis going down with a severe high ankle sprain, this is his big chance to prove the doubters wrong. He’s now the only healthy point guard in a the most high-powered offense in the NBA, with a cast of terrific athletes around him. If Williams doesn’t break through this season, little hope will dawn on his NBA career.
Aaron Brooks - With Bobby Jackson returning to Sacramento in the recent Ron Artest blockbuster trade, minutes for Brooks have been made available. It’s up to him to go out and earn them, but he’s got the high-octane energy level and perimeter shooting ability to get a bigger role. Keep your eyes peeled.
T.J. Ford - For the first time since 2005-2006, Ford will be getting the 30+ minute per game role that he had been looking for in Toronto. In Indiana, there is no Jose Calderon to worry about, but rather a Travis Diener and Jamaal “I’m still here?” Tinsley. In Jim O’Brien’s green-light offense with a cast of shooters around him, there’s no reason for Ford not to have his best professional season (barring injury).
Al Thornton - As a starter in 31 games last season, Thornton averaged 15.6 points and 6.1 rebounds per contest, while proving his worthiness of greater than the 14th pick of the 2007 NBA Draft. Simply put, he can flat out score the ball, almost in poor man’s Carmelo Anthony fashion. This year, there are no Corey Maggette’s in his way. Thornton should be deemed the starting small forward from day one, and I’ll be damned if he loses that job to Ricky Davis. If his rookie year told us anything, it’s that Al Thornton is going to be a terrific pro ballplayer. Watch out.
Andrew Bynum - Bynum was brilliant as a starter last season (14.6 PPG, 10.7 RPG, 2.1 BPG). If it weren’t for a season-ending left knee injury in mid-January, we could have a star in the making. With months of recovery and less pressure on his shoulders, Bynum could “officially break out” in 08-09. His potential is through the roof; it’s only a matter of time before it taps it.
Mike Conley - Conley’s rookie campaign was, though slightly hindered by injuries, a disappointing one. Granted, 19-year-old point guards rarely ever find their niche in the NBA right away, but expectations were high for the former Ohio State Buckeye heading into 2007 training camp. With a year under his belt, I’d personally be quite surprised if Conley didn’t put together a much improved season in 2008-2009.
Marcus Banks - Unless Miami somehow fills the point guard void with a more experienced player, Marcus Banks is going to get a brand new shot to prove himself, splitting minutes with rookie Mario Chalmers. Banks has the size, strength, speed, quickness, and defensive ability; the problem is that he doesn’t have good instincts, is a poor decision maker, and lacks the skills necessary to run an effective NBA offense. Regardless of his deficiencies, he may get a chance by force. If so, there is an outside shot that he establishes himself as a serviceable backup. Heck, he may start. We’ll see.
Ramon Sessions - Sessions was only fortunate enough to appear in 17 total games as a rookie last season, but boy did he go out with a bang or what? As a starter in Milwaukee’s final seven games, Sessions tallied 13.1 points, 13.1 assists, and 5.6 rebounds per outing on efficient shooting percentages of 46.9% overall and 40% from beyond the arc. Against Chicago on April 14, he even racked up one of the most superb stat lines of recent memory - 20 points, 24 assists, and eight rebounds on 7-12 shooting. While Sessions lit it up when the games didn’t matter, he certainly is an intriguing prospect to keep your eye on. He can play, that’s for sure, and he may even have a shot to beat out newly acquired Luke Ridnour for the starting job.
Randy Foye - After missing a considerable amount of time due to a stress reaction in his left knee, Foye went balls to the wall to close out his sophomore season. Throughout the month of April (10 games), Foye held more than respectable averages of 18.4 PPG, 5.2 APG, and three RPG. In addition to that, he shot 45.6% from the field and displayed his range with a 42.6% shooting clip from beyond the arc. Barring injury, Foye is now primed to establish himself as one of the rising guards in the league.
Yi Jianlian - Yi’s rookie year was, as many initial campaigns go, up and down. Throughout the first month and a half of the season, he looked like one of the top rookies in the class. From that point on, the appeal dropped off month-by-month. By early February, he had lost his starting job to Charlie Villanueva, and was unable to end the year on a high note due to a sprained left knee attained on April 2. However, Yi now has a fresh start in New Jersey, which is a sexier market for his personal desires and contains multiple wide open starting frontcourt positions. Let’s hope the highly touted seven-footer can prove his worth, rather than go through a “sophomore slump.”
Julian Wright - When given minutes near the end of last season, Julian Wright showed multiple flashes of what he can become. The combination of his size, length, athleticism, and defensive activity is bound to produce a more than serviceable pro ballplayer. His role should increase year-by-year, and steady improvements should be shown as time progresses. The tandem of Wright and recently signed James Posey is going to give opposing second units fits.
Wilson Chandler - Long, athletic, dead-eye shooter… that fits the description of a Mike D’Antoni kind of player. Wilson Chandler could very well be a more well-rounded version of James Jones when it’s all said and done, and if there’s a better system out there for his game than Mike D’Antoni’s, I’d like you to let me know. Chandler has reportedly impressed the coaching staff thus far, and it seems as though an increased role is right around the corner for the sharpshooter.
Jeff Green - To close out his rookie season, Green was putting up over 15 points and five rebounds per game through a 10-game span. The former Georgetown Hoya should walk into 2008 training camp with an increased role and added responsibility, to go along with a starting job from day one (unlike last year, where he started 52 games). Look for the well-rounded forward to show steady improvements in multiple areas, as he gets more comfortable with the NBA game.
Dwight Howard - It’s time for Superman to face his kryptonite, and finally begin developing a post game. Baby hooks and power slams are outstanding, but if Howard ever wants to be considered “great,” he’s going to have to diversify his attack. I’ll go out on a limb and say that we catch our first glimpse of this in 2009.
Thaddeus Young - With Elton Brand now in town, it may be a bit tougher for Young to make a large statistical jump, but make no mistake about the fact that having Brand on the floor opens up more opportunities for Young to do what he does best - scrap, keep the defense moving, clean up, and be the beneficiary of decoy plays. As Maurice Cheeks said last season, “We don’t even run plays for him, but he gets the job done.” If Young plays his cards right, he could be a big time contributor a few years down the line. Expect improvements year-in, year-out.
Defense - If a young player like Alando Tucker shows minor improvements, great. But that’s not what’s important with this team. The important thing is the defensive side of the ball, and Steve Kerr looks to have helped repair the problem by bringing in the likes of Matt Barnes and Robin Lopez, as well as getting rid of defensive anti-Christ, Mike D’Antoni. The window in Phoenix seems to be rapidly closing, if it already hasn’t, but they took a step in the right direction this summer.
LaMarcus Aldridge - “What? Didn’t Aldridge technically break out last season?” Yes, but that doesn’t mean that he’s a finished product. As the season progressed, Aldridge grew tougher inside and began pulling down more rebounds than ever before. In his last 10 games of the 2007-2008 season, Aldridge held averages of 17.9 points and 9.5 rebounds per game, as opposed to his total season average of just 7.6 RPG. Statistically, the presence of Greg Oden may in essence “steal” some of Aldridge’s thunder on the glass, but that’s the point. It opens up Aldridge’s true defensive strengths as a help-side defender and second shot alterer. Offensively, having Oden in the post will open up even more space for Aldridge to knock down that beautiful mid-range J. Don’t be surprised if Aldridge quickly emerges as one of the league’s top power forwards.
John Salmons - Here’s my early pick to win the 2008-2009 Most Improved Player of the Year award altogether. In December of 2007, Salmons held averages of approximately 18 points, five rebounds, and three assists per game through a 14-game span - and that was with Ron Artest alongside him. Artest won’t be there to disrupt the flow of the offense and take opportunities away from Salmons this season. In fact, Salmons may even become the second option on the entire team. He’s got a complete game and extreme versatility; now, he has a legitimate opportunity to prove himself.
Ian Mahinmi - For the most part, this roster is what it is (solid, cohesive, and aging). However, Ian Mahinmi may find himself in the rotation a bit more than he did last season, where he appeared in only six games. The native of France is 6′11”, long, athletic, and a terrific shot blocker, something that San Antonio’s frontcourt is lacking. Kurt Thomas is getting older, Robert Horry is on his last breath, and Matt Bonner is… well, he’s Matt Bonner. Mahinmi could steal a small role in 08-09, and you might just be surprised at how much he can help.
Let’s Hope It’s Andrea Bargnani - Dirk Nowitzki had a rough rookie year, then a big second year. Andrea Bargnani had a solid rookie year, but an absolutely putrid sophomore season. His scoring, rebounding, shot blocking, field goal percentage, and three-point percentage dropped from year one to year two, and as a result, his minutes slightly dropped as well. I’ll openly admit that I’m far from a member of the Andrea Bargnani fan club, but for his sake, let’s hope he busts out of his shell in year three. That task will indeed be more difficult to accomplish, now that he has Jermaine O’Neal in front of him rather than Stephen A. Smith’s close personal friend Rasho Nesterovic, but it’s time for “Dirk 2.0″ to prove his worthiness of the number one overall pick.
C.J. Miles? - Utah matched Oklahoma City’s four-year, $15 million offer sheet for a reason… and you’d hope a good reason, with a plethora of wings presently ahead of Miles on the depth chart. Will he get a shot in 08-09?
Nick Young - Young is an extremely gifted athlete with potential just waiting to be tapped. Similar to many youngsters, the next jump for Young to make is mental. He was confronted multiple times in his rookie year for acting too childish, and even had re-tooled locker arrangements assigned because of it. However, if he can grow up a tad, it’s hard to imagine a supreme athlete and scorer like Young failing.
Prediction-making is a crapshoot. You’re either a genius or scum. We’re all a little bit of both, but it sure is fun speculating, ain’t it?

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